AI Intelligence Summary
Turkey represents the most dramatic monetary policy reversal in recent G20 history. After years of unconventional ultra-low rates under political pressure, the post-election orthodox turn has seen rates surge from 8.5% to 45%. Inflation peaked at 85% and is gradually declining. The Lira has suffered significant depreciation. ErdoΔan's new economic team is working to rebuild credibility with international markets. FX reserves are rebuilding. The path to normalisation is real but fragile β political risk remains a constant overhang.
4.50%
GDP Growth
67.10%
CPI Inflation
72.30%
Core CPI
8.80%
Unemployment
45.00%
Policy Rate
-22.10%
Real Rate
30.20%
Debt/GDP
50.20
PMI
GDP Growth Rate
Annual real GDP growth (%)
Inflation (CPI)
Consumer price index annual change (%)
Monetary Policy Rate
Central bank benchmark rate (%)
Unemployment Rate
% of labour force unemployed
Full Indicator Dashboard
| Indicator | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth | 4.50% | strong |
| Headline Inflation | 67.10% | high |
| Core Inflation | 72.30% | high |
| Unemployment Rate | 8.8% | high |
| Policy Rate | 45.00% | accommodative |
| Real Interest Rate | -22.10% | negative |
| Yield Curve Spread | 12.40% | normal |
| Debt / GDP | 30.2% | sustainable |
| Current Account | -3.80% | deficit |
| Fiscal Balance | -5.20% | deficit |
| PMI (Composite) | 50.2 | expansion |
| M2 Growth | 68.40% | rapid |
| Industrial Production | 3.80% | growing |
| Trade Balance | $-98.4B | deficit |
| FDI Inflows | $8.8B | moderate |
| FX Reserves Coverage | 3.8 months | moderate |