Quantitative Models
Recession probability models ยท MSI scores ยท Phillips Curve ยท Policy shock analysis ยท Correlation engine
Macroeconomic Stability Index (MSI)
Composite score (0-100) across 6 dimensions: inflation, rate stability, debt sustainability, currency, growth momentum, external balance. Higher = more stable.
MSI Breakdown by Component
| Economy | Overall | Inflation | Rates | Debt | Currency | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ฎ๐ฉ Indonesia | 88 | 86 | 74 | 77 | 91 | 100 |
| ๐จ๐ณ China | 84 | 99 | 75 | 50 | 96 | 100 |
| ๐ฎ๐ณ India | 83 | 75 | 90 | 49 | 96 | 100 |
| ๐ฐ๐ท S.Korea | 82 | 86 | 94 | 67 | 90 | 76 |
| ๐ฆ๐บ Australia | 82 | 82 | 94 | 70 | 92 | 63 |
| ๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi | 78 | 92 | 65 | 84 | 100 | 52 |
| ๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico | 75 | 78 | 48 | 70 | 75 | 82 |
| ๐ซ๐ท France | 74 | 88 | 83 | 32 | 98 | 54 |
| ๐จ๐ฆ Canada | 74 | 86 | 82 | 36 | 94 | 57 |
| ๐ช๐บ Eurozone | 74 | 87 | 85 | 46 | 98 | 49 |
| ๐บ๐ธ USA | 73 | 85 | 89 | 25 | 96 | 78 |
| ๐ฉ๐ช Germany | 72 | 89 | 97 | 61 | 98 | 33 |
| ๐ฌ๐ง UK | 72 | 87 | 86 | 40 | 97 | 55 |
| ๐ง๐ท Brazil | 70 | 77 | 51 | 46 | 78 | 84 |
| ๐ฟ๐ฆ S.Africa | 70 | 72 | 79 | 56 | 90 | 49 |
| ๐ฏ๐ต Japan | 66 | 89 | 88 | 0 | 93 | 61 |
| ๐ท๐บ Russia | 64 | 63 | 31 | 89 | 63 | 94 |
| ๐ณ๐ฌ Nigeria | 51 | 0 | 44 | 72 | 14 | 84 |
| ๐น๐ท Turkey | 45 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 26 | 100 |
| ๐ฆ๐ท Argentina | 23 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 0 |